mcsg · Polymarket wallet 0x4d3d…5047

Wallet snapshot

mcsg has made 7,740 trades on Polymarket across 965 markets, $105K in volume. Most of it is in politics (44%). On 924 resolved markets the win rate is 23.2%, lifetime P&L +$6,622. It holds 18 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?". Last trade: Nov 13, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?Yes · $527 · 16¢ → 56¢
• Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?Yes · $388 · 29¢ → 35¢
• Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in November 2026?Yes · $330 · 76¢ → 68¢
• Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?Yes · $145 · 4¢ → 18¢
• Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?Yes · $143 · 5¢ → 13¢
• Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?Yes · $80 · 5¢ → 7¢
• Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 13 to November 20, 2026?Yes · $74 · 7¢ → 12¢
• Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?Yes · $70 · 4¢ → 8¢
• Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?Yes · $61 · 8¢ → 20¢
• Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?Yes · $49 · 4¢ → 3¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?Yes · -$3 · Nov 11, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?Yes · -$5 · Nov 11, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?Yes · -$3 · Nov 11, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?Yes · +$8 · Nov 11, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?Yes · -$31 · Nov 11, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?Yes · -$27 · Nov 11, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.