PoliticsResolved
Will Lula win 44% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$61.0K
1,621 trades
Smart Whales
94
of 300 traders · 1 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
46 YESvs49 NO
48%52%
52% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 86% YES by dollars · 18 YES vs 6 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$12 of $3.8K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $3.3K·NO $535YES Team
Total Invested
$10.3K
Avg Win Rate
67.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$3.1K(+30.1%)
Whales
46
G
gambler925🥇
Entry 86¢·2,544.1 shares
Invested
$2.2K
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
+$342
+$342INV $2.2K · WR 56.1%
S
SnowLover7◆Proven🥈
Entry 90¢·1,838 shares
Invested
$1.7K
Win Rate
65.0%
Position P&L
+$175
+$175INV $1.7K · WR 65.0%
B
balthazar🥉hedged
Entry 92¢·1,151.6 shares·also $415 on NO
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$91
+$91INV $1.1K · WR 72.2%
A
archaic
Entry 94¢·967.9 shares
Invested
$914
Win Rate
86.8%
Position P&L
+$54
+$54INV $914 · WR 86.8%
B
BeginnersLuck2
Entry 99¢·834.3 shares
Invested
$829
Win Rate
92.9%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $829 · WR 92.9%
S
seal7◆Proven
Entry 94¢·684.7 shares
Invested
$645
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
+$40
+$40INV $645 · WR 60.3%
R
riobaldohedged
Entry 20¢·2,204.1 shares·also $2.4K on NO
Invested
$446
Win Rate
57.5%
Position P&L
+$1758
+$1758INV $446 · WR 57.5%
B
BKno95◆Proven
Entry 95¢·443 shares
Invested
$422
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $422 · WR 72.0%
F
flawfence◆Proven
Entry 50¢·560 shares
Invested
$280
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
+$280
+$280INV $280 · WR 55.4%
0
00021308248234724632
Entry 73¢·338.7 shares
Invested
$249
Win Rate
57.5%
Position P&L
+$89
+$89INV $249 · WR 57.5%
Showing top 10 of 46
NO Team
Total Invested
$9.0K
Avg Win Rate
65.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$7.4K(-82.6%)
Whales
49
R
riobaldo🥇hedged
Entry 107¢·2,204 shares·also $446 on YES
Invested
$2.4K
Win Rate
57.5%
Position P&L
$-2367
$-2367INV $2.4K · WR 57.5%
T
Toncar16🥈
Entry 56¢·4,026.5 shares
Invested
$2.3K
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
$-2268
$-2268INV $2.3K · WR 57.0%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥉
Entry 41¢·1,813.6 shares
Invested
$735
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-735
$-735INV $735 · WR 85.9%
D
donthackme
Entry 16¢·3,851 shares
Invested
$611
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-611
$-611INV $611 · WR 87.7%
B
balthazarhedged
Entry 31¢·1,326 shares·also $1.1K on YES
Invested
$415
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-415
$-415INV $415 · WR 72.2%
B
BiDiFakePolls◆Proven
Entry 34¢·1,018.1 shares
Invested
$346
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
$-346
$-346INV $346 · WR 62.5%
E
e46m3
Entry 35¢·409.4 shares
Invested
$144
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-144
$-144INV $144 · WR 79.6%
A
Antony82
Entry 69¢·201.4 shares
Invested
$140
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
$-139
$-139INV $140 · WR 61.7%
D
DerDon◆Proven
Entry 39¢·300 shares
Invested
$117
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
$-117
$-117INV $117 · WR 56.5%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 22¢·406.9 shares
Invested
$89
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
$-89
$-89INV $89 · WR 88.7%
Showing top 10 of 49
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