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Will the biggest earthquake on October 22, 2026 be 6.1 or more?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
24¢
24% implied
NO Price
76¢
76% implied
Volume
$625
42 trades
Smart Whales
4
of 21 traders · 2 on both sides

What will the biggest earthquake be on October 22, 2026?

6 MARKETS · $1.4K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

3 YESvs3 NO
50%50%
50% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 73% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 70%· net of hedges
+17 new YES$165+13 new NO$278
$167 of this was bought on both sides by the same 10 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 27% of the money is not a bet
$11 of $42 is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $22·NO $8
YES Team
Total Invested
$28
Avg Win Rate
67.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$1(+2.1%)
Whales
3
3
0x3ff744e9...🥇hedged
Entry 23¢·75 shares·also $2 on NO
+$0INV $17 · WR 63.2%
E
ergodiclab🥈
Entry 22¢·30 shares
+$0INV $7 · WR 86.7%
A
anatoly.rektovenko🥉hedged
Entry 25¢·16.7 shares·also $12 on NO
$-0INV $4 · WR 56.5%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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