YES Price
24¢
24% implied
NO Price
76¢
76% implied
Volume
$625
44 trades
Smart Whales
5
of 23 traders · 2 on both sides
What will the biggest earthquake be on October 22, 2026?
6 MARKETS · $1.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the biggest earthquake on October 22, 2026 be 5.3 to 5.4
14¢+36¢$1662/2Will the biggest earthquake on October 22, 2026 be 5.3 to 5.4+36¢14¢
$1662/2
Will the biggest earthquake on October 22, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6
17¢+33¢$1472/2Will the biggest earthquake on October 22, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6+33¢17¢
$1472/2
Will the biggest earthquake on October 22, 2026 be 5.7 to 5.8
14¢+36¢$1662/2Will the biggest earthquake on October 22, 2026 be 5.7 to 5.8+36¢14¢
$1662/2
Will the biggest earthquake on October 22, 2026 be 5.9 to 6.0
13¢+54¢$1602/1Will the biggest earthquake on October 22, 2026 be 5.9 to 6.0+54¢13¢
$1602/1
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs4 NO
43%57%
57% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 73% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 72%· net of hedges
+18 new YES$174+14 new NO$309
$176 of this was bought on both sides by the same 10 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 27% of the money is not a bet
$11 of $42 is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $22·NO $8YES Team
Total Invested
$28
Avg Win Rate
67.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$1(+2.1%)
Whales
3
3
0x3ff744e9...🥇hedged
Entry 23¢·75 shares·also $2 on NO
Invested
$17
Win Rate
63.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $17 · WR 63.2%
E
ergodiclab🥈
Entry 22¢·30 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
86.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $7 · WR 86.7%
A
anatoly.rektovenko🥉hedged
Entry 25¢·16.7 shares·also $12 on NO
Invested
$4
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $4 · WR 56.5%
NO Team
Total Invested
$52
Avg Win Rate
71.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$0(-0.3%)
Whales
4
H
Hugin-og-Munin🥇
Entry 77¢·30 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $23 · WR 66.7%
T
truwhai2🥈
Entry 77¢·20 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
89.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $15 · WR 89.8%
A
anatoly.rektovenko🥉hedged
Entry 76¢·16.2 shares·also $4 on YES
Invested
$12
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $12 · WR 56.5%
3
0x3ff744e9...hedged
Entry 76¢·2 shares·also $17 on YES
Invested
$2
Win Rate
63.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 63.2%
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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