YES Price
17¢
17% implied
NO Price
83¢
83% implied
Volume
$169
15 trades
Smart Whales
4
of 13 traders · 1 on both sides
What will the biggest earthquake be on October 22, 2026?
6 MARKETS · $1.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the biggest earthquake on October 22, 2026 be 5.3 to 5.4
14¢+36¢$1662/2Will the biggest earthquake on October 22, 2026 be 5.3 to 5.4+36¢14¢
$1662/2
Will the biggest earthquake on October 22, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6
17¢+33¢$1472/2Will the biggest earthquake on October 22, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6+33¢17¢
$1472/2
Will the biggest earthquake on October 22, 2026 be 5.7 to 5.8
14¢+36¢$1662/2Will the biggest earthquake on October 22, 2026 be 5.7 to 5.8+36¢14¢
$1662/2
Will the biggest earthquake on October 22, 2026 be 5.9 to 6.0
13¢+54¢$1602/1Will the biggest earthquake on October 22, 2026 be 5.9 to 6.0+54¢13¢
$1602/1
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs3 NO
40%60%
60% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0 YES vs 0 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 93%· net of hedges
+6 new YES$43+9 new NO$314
$40 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 100% of the money is not a bet
$17 of $17 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $0·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$19
Avg Win Rate
74.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$1(+3.2%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$73
Avg Win Rate
66.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$10(+13.8%)
Whales
3
3
0x3ff744e9...🥇hedged
Entry 83¢·59.9 shares·also $10 on YES
Invested
$50
Win Rate
63.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $50 · WR 63.2%
H
Hugin-og-Munin🥈
Entry 51¢·30 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $15 · WR 66.7%
E
ergodiclab🥉hedged
Entry 83¢·10 shares·also $9 on YES
Invested
$8
Win Rate
86.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $8 · WR 86.7%
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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