PoliticsResolved
Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?
YES Price
94¢
94% implied
NO Price
6¢
6% implied
Volume
$42.8K
1,548 trades
Smart Whales
94
of 410 traders · 1 on both sides
ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?
2 MARKETS · $80.2K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
41 YESvs54 NO
43%57%
57% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 16 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$11 of $5.6K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $5.6K·NO $26YES Team
Total Invested
$7.1K
Avg Win Rate
66.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$3.1K(+43.5%)
Whales
41
G
gopfan2◆Proven🥇
Entry 73¢·5,162.3 shares
Invested
$3.8K
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
+$1037
+$1037INV $3.8K · WR 60.3%
S
scottilicious🥈hedged
Entry 33¢·2,336.9 shares·also $1.8K on NO
Invested
$770
Win Rate
85.5%
Position P&L
+$1415
+$1415INV $770 · WR 85.5%
Z
zthunderfury🥉
Entry 77¢·800.1 shares
Invested
$620
Win Rate
75.5%
Position P&L
+$124
+$124INV $620 · WR 75.5%
N
ndb1
Entry 94¢·329.7 shares
Invested
$309
Win Rate
73.2%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $309 · WR 73.2%
B
BetterFish◆Proven
Entry 87¢·325.6 shares
Invested
$282
Win Rate
70.5%
Position P&L
+$21
+$21INV $282 · WR 70.5%
M
MiaoAlpha
Entry 82¢·300 shares
Invested
$245
Win Rate
70.3%
Position P&L
+$39
+$39INV $245 · WR 70.3%
M
Minecraft◆Proven
Entry 71¢·222 shares
Invested
$158
Win Rate
65.3%
Position P&L
+$49
+$49INV $158 · WR 65.3%
J
Jep-Ghedged
Entry 52¢·281.3 shares·also $1.4K on NO
Invested
$145
Win Rate
57.4%
Position P&L
+$118
+$118INV $145 · WR 57.4%
G
garkein
Entry 72¢·132.6 shares
Invested
$95
Win Rate
73.1%
Position P&L
+$29
+$29INV $95 · WR 73.1%
C
0xc978d79d...
Entry 69¢·102.8 shares
Invested
$71
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $71 · WR 85.8%
Showing top 10 of 41
NO Team
Total Invested
$5.0K
Avg Win Rate
76.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$4.2K(-82.6%)
Whales
54
S
scottilicious🥇hedged
Entry 75¢·2,336.8 shares·also $770 on YES
Invested
$1.8K
Win Rate
85.5%
Position P&L
$-1603
$-1603INV $1.8K · WR 85.5%
J
Jep-G🥈hedged
Entry 74¢·1,881.3 shares·also $145 on YES
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
57.4%
Position P&L
$-1264
$-1264INV $1.4K · WR 57.4%
I
influenz.eth🥉
Entry 41¢·1,459.3 shares
Invested
$599
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-504
$-504INV $599 · WR 85.8%
P
paspor
Entry 80¢·385.2 shares
Invested
$306
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-281
$-281INV $306 · WR 85.8%
W
wokerjoesleeper
Entry 40¢·456.5 shares
Invested
$183
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-154
$-154INV $183 · WR 87.6%
Y
yesofcourseimrighthedged
Entry 71¢·171.2 shares·also $53 on YES
Invested
$122
Win Rate
76.4%
Position P&L
$-110
$-110INV $122 · WR 76.4%
K
korda77
Entry 18¢·569 shares
Invested
$102
Win Rate
85.5%
Position P&L
$-65
$-65INV $102 · WR 85.5%
P
Picksellhedged
Entry 71¢·122.6 shares·also $31 on YES
Invested
$86
Win Rate
60.1%
Position P&L
$-79
$-79INV $86 · WR 60.1%
U
UbuntuTrading◆Proven
Entry 25¢·229.8 shares
Invested
$57
Win Rate
66.5%
Position P&L
$-42
$-42INV $57 · WR 66.5%
E
e46m3
Entry 16¢·311.6 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-30
$-30INV $50 · WR 79.6%
Showing top 10 of 54
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