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Geopolitics89 days left

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
3ยข
3% implied
NO Price
97ยข
97% implied
Volume
$40.13M
104,636 trades
Smart Whales
3487
of 23,881 traders ยท 9 on both sides

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

2 MARKETS ยท $40.26M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

1437 YESvs2059 NO
41%59%
59% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 3% YES by dollars ยท 197 YES vs 1086 NO taking a side ยท 2 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 81%ยท net of hedges
+36 new YES$13.8K+28 new NO$48.0K
$6.0K of this was bought on both sides by the same 11 buyers โ€” left out of momentum
6 smart whales4 smart whales
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
$10 of $1.42M is held equally on both sides by 1 wallet โ€” not a bet on the outcome. $819 is hedged across different prices by 8 wallets. True directional: YES $38.2KยทNO $1.38M
YES Team
Total Invested
$756.1K
Avg Win Rate
74.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$358.7K(-47.5%)
Whales
1,437
5
0x5bffcf56...๐Ÿฅ‡
Entry 87ยขยท289,704 shares
$-245043INV $253.0K ยท WR 73.8%
T
thechainsmokers๐Ÿฅˆhedged
Entry 80ยขยท47,841.5 sharesยทalso $6.2K on NO
$-36857INV $38.2K ยท WR 68.9%
J
javierRD๐Ÿฅ‰hedged
Entry 86ยขยท36,857.1 sharesยทalso $5.2K on NO
$-30684INV $31.7K ยท WR 86.6%
S
Slimy-Obligation
Entry 13ยขยท144,669.7 shares
$-14315INV $18.6K ยท WR 72.7%
S
Shark13
Entry 19ยขยท52,168 shares
$-8373INV $9.9K ยท WR 63.6%
P
Pure-Threathedged
Entry 22ยขยท39,955.5 sharesยทalso $31.6K on NO
$-7591INV $8.7K ยท WR 81.9%
R
risk-managerhedged
Entry 15ยขยท42,730.8 sharesยทalso $36.8K on NO
$-5062INV $6.2K ยท WR 73.8%
Z
zoltar02hedged
Entry 7ยขยท84,500.3 sharesยทalso $78.5K on NO
$-3395INV $5.7K ยท WR 68.6%
B
btobbes
Entry 19ยขยท5,151.1 shares
$-848INV $1000 ยท WR 90.0%
S
surfa
Entry 5ยขยท17,777.7 shares
$-404INV $928 ยท WR 66.4%
Showing top 10 of 1,437

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 41% YES: the US confirm that aliens existโ€ฆ