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Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 16?

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
30¢
30% implied
NO Price
70¢
70% implied
Volume
$597
30 trades
Smart Whales
9
of 34 traders

Highest temperature in Paris on November 16?

11 MARKETS · $3.8K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

6 YESvs3 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 30¢
YES 67%NO 33%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 30¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 67% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 70%· net of hedges
+19 new YES · 4 smart whales+22 new NO · 4 smart whales
$97 bought on both sides by the same 7 buyers — left out of momentum
In-form wallets ⓘ2 of 3 on YES
YES 2NO 1one dot = one wallet
2 wallets on YES
1 wallet on NO

The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 26h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested

Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $121 is directional: YES $81·NO $40
YES Team
Total Invested
$81
Avg Win Rate
60.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$19(+24.1%)
Whales
6
E
0xeb1b3ef2...🥇
Entry 32¢·166.6 shares
$-0INV $53 · WR 55.4%
T
TakeYourTemperature🥈
Entry 33¢·40.8 shares
$-1INV $13 · WR 69.3%
L
Lucerys🥉
Entry 9¢·63.4 shares
+$14INV $6 · WR 87.7%
B
bkvirendra
Entry 36¢·14.4 shares
$-1INV $5 · WR 58.4%
N
newbie147
Entry 9¢·30 shares
+$7INV $3 · WR 70.9%
5
5ps
Entry 32¢·3.2 shares
$-0INV $1 · WR 57.9%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 53% YES: the highest temperature in Paris…