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Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on November 16?

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
14¢
14% implied
NO Price
86¢
86% implied
Volume
$684
35 trades
Smart Whales
7
of 32 traders · 1 on both sides

Highest temperature in Paris on November 16?

11 MARKETS · $3.8K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

3 YESvs5 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 14¢
YES 38%NO 63%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 14¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 5% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 89%· net of hedges
+19 new YES · 2 smart whales+19 new NO · 5 smart whales
$31 bought on both sides by the same 6 buyers — left out of momentum
In-form wallets ⓘsplit 2 · 2
YES 2NO 2one dot = one wallet
2 wallets on YES
2 wallets on NO

The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 26h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested

Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$4 of $74 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $4·NO $66
YES Team
Total Invested
$6
Avg Win Rate
68.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$2(+35.4%)
Whales
3
N
newbie147🥇
Entry 9¢·30 shares
+$2INV $3 · WR 70.9%
W
whhisky🥈hedged
Entry 17¢·10.6 shares·also $13 on NO
$-0INV $2 · WR 70.4%
F
0xffe343d4...🥉
Entry 17¢·6.2 shares
$-0INV $1 · WR 57.5%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 33% YES: the highest temperature in Paris…