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17 days left

Will it be confirmed that a problem with the FAA's SMART air traffic management system caused the FAA's nationwide ground stop on November 13?

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
50¢
50% implied
NO Price
50¢
50% implied
Volume
$3.2K
135 trades
Smart Whales
11
of 70 traders

What technical failure caused the FAA's nationwide ground stop?

7 MARKETS · $0 MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

3 YESvs8 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 50¢
YES 27%NO 73%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 50¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 1% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 8 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 95%· net of hedges
+53 new YES · 5 smart whales+34 new NO · 8 smart whales
$178 bought on both sides by the same 17 buyers — left out of momentum
In-form wallets ⓘ4 of 5 on NO
YES 1NO 4one dot = one wallet
1 wallet on YES
4 wallets on NO

The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 7h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested

Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $3.0K is directional: YES $24·NO $3.0K
YES Team
Total Invested
$24
Avg Win Rate
58.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$10(-43.2%)
Whales
3
F
FastonProven🥇
Entry 3¢·552.4 shares
$-7INV $19 · WR 56.9%
S
Single-ChallengeProven🥈
Entry 8¢·50 shares
$-3INV $4 · WR 67.5%
M
march333🥉
Entry 3¢·34.3 shares
$-0INV $1 · WR 55.6%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 27% YES: it be confirmed that a problem…