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Will the highest temperature in Austin be 55°F or below on November 15?

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
17¢
17% implied
NO Price
83¢
83% implied
Volume
$2.6K
119 trades
Smart Whales
15
of 52 traders

Highest temperature in Austin on November 15?

11 MARKETS · $3.6K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

3 YESvs12 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 17¢
YES 20%NO 80%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 17¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 4% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 12 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 89%· net of hedges
+15 new YES · 2 smart whales+42 new NO · 12 smart whales
$109 bought on both sides by the same 5 buyers — left out of momentum
In-form wallets ⓘ3 of 4 on NO
YES 1NO 3one dot = one wallet
1 wallet on YES
3 wallets on NO

The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 12h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested

Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $548 is directional: YES $21·NO $527
YES Team
Total Invested
$21
Avg Win Rate
71.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$3(+15.4%)
Whales
3
R
reicf9809112🥇
Entry 17¢·90.1 shares
+$1INV $15 · WR 74.5%
R
Roflan-ludoman🥈
Entry 18¢·20 shares
$-0INV $4 · WR 58.1%
N
newbie147🥉
Entry 9¢·30 shares
+$3INV $3 · WR 70.9%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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