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Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on November 15?

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
31¢
31% implied
NO Price
69¢
69% implied
Volume
$3.6K
69 trades
Smart Whales
10
of 67 traders

Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 15?

11 MARKETS · $7.1K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

4 YESvs6 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 31¢
YES 40%NO 60%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 31¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 81% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 73%· net of hedges
+29 new YES · 3 smart whales+24 new NO · 4 smart whales
$206 bought on both sides by the same 9 buyers — left out of momentum
In-form wallets ⓘsplit 2 · 3
YES 2NO 3one dot = one wallet
2 wallets on YES
3 wallets on NO

The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 30h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested

Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $21 is directional: YES $17·NO $4
YES Team
Total Invested
$17
Avg Win Rate
68.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$7(+43.6%)
Whales
4
T
TakeYourTemperature🥇
Entry 35¢·25.4 shares
$-1INV $9 · WR 69.3%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 18¢·17.3 shares
+$2INV $3 · WR 71.9%
N
newbie147🥉
Entry 9¢·30 shares
+$6INV $3 · WR 70.9%
N
Near-Science
Entry 23¢·9 shares
+$1INV $2 · WR 57.5%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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