YES Price
56¢
56% implied
NO Price
44¢
44% implied
Volume
$1.1K
69 trades
Smart Whales
11
of 68 traders
Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 15?
11 MARKETS · $7.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C or below on November 15
0¢+50¢$1051/1Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C or below on November 15+50¢0¢
$1051/1
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on November 15
0¢+50¢$1491/1Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on November 15+50¢0¢
$1491/1
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on November 15
0¢+25¢$3111/3Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on November 15+25¢0¢
$3111/3
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on November 15
1¢+16¢$1901/5Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on November 15+16¢1¢
$1901/5
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on November 15
12¢−1¢$6901/8Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on November 15−1¢12¢
$6901/8
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on November 15←
56¢−26¢$1.1K3/7Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on November 15←−26¢56¢
$1.1K3/7
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on November 15
31¢−6¢$3.6K2/6Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on November 15−6¢31¢
$3.6K2/6
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on November 15
4¢+14¢$4242/9Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on November 15+14¢4¢
$4242/9
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on November 15
1¢+16¢$3041/5Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on November 15+16¢1¢
$3041/5
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs7 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 56¢
YES 36%NO 64%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 56¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 59% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 50%· net of hedges
$326
$330
+24 new YES · 2 smart whales+21 new NO · 5 smart whales
$125 bought on both sides by the same 6 buyers — left out of momentum
In-form wallets ⓘ2 of 3 on NO
YES 1NO 2one dot = one wallet
1 wallet on YES
2 wallets on NO
The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 30h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $254 is directional: YES $149·NO $105YES Team
Total Invested
$149
Avg Win Rate
57.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$45(+30.5%)
Whales
4
B
BeresBalu🥇
Entry 50¢·149 shares
Invested
$75
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $75 · WR 56.9%
P
pierodi87🥈
Entry 45¢·133 shares
Invested
$60
Win Rate
55.7%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $60 · WR 55.7%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 54¢·17.3 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $9 · WR 71.9%
N
newbie147
Entry 9¢·50 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
70.9%
Position P&L
+$23
+$23INV $5 · WR 70.9%
NO Team
Total Invested
$137
Avg Win Rate
68.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$27(-19.6%)
Whales
7
C
cleaningLady🥇
Entry 56¢·167 shares
Invested
$94
Win Rate
63.9%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $94 · WR 63.9%
H
haveagoodday🥈
Entry 53¢·30 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $16 · WR 86.6%
M
mustbethewater🥉
Entry 53¢·20 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $11 · WR 79.6%
H
heyhighhhui2
Entry 60¢·10 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
61.5%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $6 · WR 61.5%
S
Sitiropikoh
Entry 49¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
68.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 68.0%
L
Lucerys
Entry 53¢·5 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $3 · WR 87.7%
Z
zua
Entry 45¢·5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 85.2%
Smart Whale Trades
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