Geopolitics48 days left

Next Russia-Ukraine-EU Trilateral Diplomatic Meeting by December 31, 2026?

Trade on Polymarket

YES Price

22¢

22% implied

NO Price

78¢

78% implied

Volume

$3.2K

88 trades

Smart Whales

of 61 traders · 1 on both sides

Russia-Ukraine-EU Trilateral Diplomatic Meeting by...?

2 MARKETS · $4.0K MATCHED

Smart Money

by November 30, 2026

11¢—$8320/0

by November 30, 2026—11¢

$8320/0

by December 31, 2026←

22¢−22¢$3.2K0/1

by December 31, 2026←−22¢22¢

$3.2K0/1

Hover a row for the full Polymarket title

Smart Money Consensus

5 YESvs7 NO

Wallets vs price

Price 22¢

YES 42%NO 58%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 22¢

Net of both-sides wallets: 13% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 6 NO taking a side

Last 24h FlowNO momentum 80%· net of hedges

$714

$2.1K

+46 new YES · 5 smart whales+34 new NO · 9 smart whales

$512 bought on both sides by the same 19 buyers — left out of momentum

In-form wallets ⓘ2 of 3 on YES

YES 2NO 1one dot = one wallet

2 wallets on YES

1 wallet on NO

bakayo33 - 9934$32

The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 18h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested

Teams by

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

$4 of $1.4K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $181·NO $1.2K

YES Team

Total Invested

$183

Avg Win Rate

62.2%

Aggregate P&L

-$6(-3.4%)

Whales

Toncar16🥇