Geopolitics17 days left
Russia x Ukraine major prisoner exchange by November 30, 2026?
YES Price
45¢
45% implied
NO Price
55¢
55% implied
Volume
$617
24 trades
Smart Whales
5
of 17 traders
Russia x Ukraine major prisoner exchange by...?
2 MARKETS · $3.0K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs3 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 45¢
YES 40%NO 60%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 45¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 24% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 67%· net of hedges
$65
$120
+3 new YES · 2 smart whales+8 new NO · 1 smart whale
$28 bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $96 is directional: YES $23·NO $73YES Team
Total Invested
$23
Avg Win Rate
62.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$1(-3.6%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$73
Avg Win Rate
65.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$1(+0.9%)
Whales
3
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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