47 days left

Will the D66–VVD–CDA Dutch coalition break in 2026?

Trade on Polymarket

YES Price

56¢

56% implied

NO Price

44¢

44% implied

Volume

$5.4K

208 trades

Smart Whales

of 104 traders

Smart Money Consensus

5 YESvs5 NO

Wallets vs price

Price 56¢

YES 50%NO 50%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 56¢

Last 24h FlowYES momentum 54%· net of hedges

$138

$119

+8 new YES · 1 smart whale+5 new NO · 3 smart whales

$18 bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum

In-form wallets ⓘ5 of 6 on NO

YES 1· $77NO 5· $172one dot = one wallet, whatever its stake

1 wallet on YES

LeechLord$77

5 wallets on NO

The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 16h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested

Teams by

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.3K is directional: YES $691·NO $585

YES Team

Total Invested

$691

Avg Win Rate

65.4%

Aggregate P&L

-$92(-13.4%)

Whales

Gamboro🥇