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Politics89 days left

Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
14¢
14% implied
NO Price
86¢
86% implied
Volume
$86.3K
1,691 trades
Smart Whales
58
of 393 traders · 1 on both sides

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

72 MARKETS · $1.19M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

32 YESvs27 NO
54%46%
54% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 30% YES by dollars · 16 YES vs 13 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 85%· net of hedges
+5 new YES$605+3 new NO$3.3K
$31 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$2 of $3.8K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $1.1K·NO $2.7K
YES Team
Total Invested
$2.1K
Avg Win Rate
61.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$311(-14.7%)
Whales
32
I
ImJustKen🥇
Entry 13¢·5,144.6 shares
+$60INV $660 · WR 61.3%
V
vamnizar🥈hedged
Entry 77¢·512 shares·also $213 on NO
$-321INV $393 · WR 56.9%
C
CryptoPlaybook🥉
Entry 12¢·700 shares
+$14INV $84 · WR 67.4%
O
Oompa-LoompaProven
Entry 23¢·346.5 shares
$-33INV $81 · WR 69.8%
F
Fancy-Snakebite
Entry 23¢·346.5 shares
$-33INV $81 · WR 59.8%
W
Wilted-Burden-Survivor
Entry 13¢·600 shares
+$6INV $78 · WR 71.7%
M
Metusalem
Entry 11¢·470 shares
+$12INV $54 · WR 64.4%
J
JosephTrump
Entry 13¢·404 shares
+$4INV $53 · WR 65.3%
9
0x93a93d84...
Entry 14¢·332.6 shares
—INV $47 · WR 59.6%
5
5atka
Entry 21¢·195.3 shares
$-14INV $41 · WR 57.2%
Showing top 10 of 32

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 54% YES: Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential…