Resolved
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in November 2025?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$91.6K
1,585 trades
Smart Whales
60
of 393 traders
November 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC)
7 MARKETS · $93.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
by between 1.30ºC and 1.34ºC in October 2026
23¢−23¢$1640/1by between 1.30ºC and 1.34ºC in October 2026−23¢23¢
$1640/1
by between 1.35ºC and 1.39ºC in October 2026
29¢—$50/0by between 1.35ºC and 1.39ºC in October 2026—29¢
$50/0
by between 1.40ºC and 1.44ºC in October 2026
44¢—$950/0by between 1.40ºC and 1.44ºC in October 2026—44¢
$950/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
26 YESvs34 NO
43%57%
57% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.8K is directional: YES $0·NO $1.8KYES Team
Total Invested
$8.3K
Avg Win Rate
75.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$15.5K(+186.5%)
Whales
26
R
russell110320🥇
Entry 38¢·7,614.1 shares
Invested
$2.9K
Win Rate
67.5%
Position P&L
+$4696
+$4696INV $2.9K · WR 67.5%
A
AgricultureSecretary◆Proven🥈
Entry 44¢·5,923.1 shares
Invested
$2.6K
Win Rate
91.2%
Position P&L
+$3337
+$3337INV $2.6K · WR 91.2%
L
lmueller🥉
Entry 36¢·2,799.8 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
63.3%
Position P&L
+$1787
+$1787INV $1.0K · WR 63.3%
R
Rr55◆Proven
Entry 43¢·1,482.3 shares
Invested
$633
Win Rate
73.2%
Position P&L
+$849
+$849INV $633 · WR 73.2%
R
Ryxon21◆Proven
Entry 42¢·480.8 shares
Invested
$203
Win Rate
71.3%
Position P&L
+$277
+$277INV $203 · WR 71.3%
E
EgoVolaehedged
Entry 50¢·302.7 shares·also $181 on NO
Invested
$152
Win Rate
58.6%
Position P&L
+$151
+$151INV $152 · WR 58.6%
G
gesicht
Entry 25¢·384.4 shares
Invested
$95
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
+$290
+$290INV $95 · WR 65.9%
D
Drunken-Mentat
Entry 21¢·250 shares
Invested
$53
Win Rate
75.4%
Position P&L
+$198
+$198INV $53 · WR 75.4%
B
balerinacapuchina
Entry 17¢·213.6 shares
Invested
$36
Win Rate
70.5%
Position P&L
+$178
+$178INV $36 · WR 70.5%
C
cruzzzz◆Proven
Entry 0¢·3,760 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
90.8%
Position P&L
+$3756
+$3756INV $4 · WR 90.8%
Showing top 10 of 26
NO Team
Total Invested
$7.6K
Avg Win Rate
75.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$6.7K(-88.9%)
Whales
34
G
gopfan2◆Proven🥇
Entry 37¢·4,907.2 shares
Invested
$1.8K
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
$-1823
$-1823INV $1.8K · WR 60.2%
K
k1tten🥈
Entry 99¢·1,570 shares
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
82.8%
Position P&L
$-1554
$-1554INV $1.6K · WR 82.8%
I
influenz.eth🥉
Entry 31¢·3,581.4 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-1127
$-1127INV $1.1K · WR 85.8%
A
aenews2◆Proven
Entry 39¢·1,755 shares
Invested
$684
Win Rate
74.6%
Position P&L
$-684
$-684INV $684 · WR 74.6%
F
flow-trader-at-optiver
Entry 24¢·1,367.5 shares
Invested
$334
Win Rate
81.6%
Position P&L
$-334
$-334INV $334 · WR 81.6%
A
alphacompound
Entry 85¢·343.1 shares
Invested
$293
Win Rate
92.5%
Position P&L
$-293
$-293INV $293 · WR 92.5%
W
wokerjoesleeper
Entry 40¢·689.5 shares
Invested
$277
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-277
$-277INV $277 · WR 87.6%
E
EgoVolaehedged
Entry 51¢·355.1 shares·also $152 on YES
Invested
$181
Win Rate
58.6%
Position P&L
$-181
$-181INV $181 · WR 58.6%
O
Oompa-Loompa◆Proven
Entry 30¢·400 shares
Invested
$120
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
$-120
$-120INV $120 · WR 69.8%
C
Cookedtan◆Proven
Entry 52¢·228 shares
Invested
$118
Win Rate
85.1%
Position P&L
$-118
$-118INV $118 · WR 85.1%
Showing top 10 of 34
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