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Economics88 days left

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$64.2K
1,482 trades
Smart Whales
40
of 302 traders

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

15 MARKETS · $305.7K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

15 YESvs25 NO
38%63%
63% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 2% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 13 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 98%· net of hedges
+5 new YES$5+2 new NO$291
$0 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
2 smart whales0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $3.8K is directional: YES $93·NO $3.7K
YES Team
Total Invested
$2.1K
Avg Win Rate
65.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.0K(-96.1%)
Whales
15
P
papik159🥇hedged
Entry 90¢·1,952.9 shares·also $69 on NO
$-1739INV $1.8K · WR 65.1%
P
pako🥈hedged
Entry 130¢·114 shares·also $64 on NO
$-147INV $148 · WR 68.3%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥉
Entry 3¢·958.5 shares
$-20INV $30 · WR 57.8%
T
TerranSupremacy
Entry 60¢·40 shares
$-23INV $24 · WR 67.2%
I
IrthBirthhedged
Entry 47¢·50.9 shares·also $22 on NO
$-23INV $24 · WR 57.3%
B
BikesarethebestProven
Entry 8¢·236.4 shares
$-17INV $20 · WR 56.1%
M
mevv
Entry 45¢·21 shares
$-9INV $9 · WR 58.3%
H
hitunfar
Entry 2¢·577.3 shares
$-3INV $9 · WR 61.7%
H
hithitfar
Entry 2¢·363.7 shares
$-2INV $6 · WR 59.4%
S
speed-7
Entry 46¢·5 shares
$-2INV $2 · WR 87.5%
Showing top 10 of 15

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 37% YES: the 10-year Treasury yield dip below…