EconomicsResolved
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$1.20M
4,355 trades
Smart Whales
185
of 919 traders
Bank of Japan decision in January?
5 MARKETS · $1.33M MATCHEDSmart Money
by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting
5¢+34¢$62.2K32/51by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting+34¢5¢
$62.2K32/51
by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting
1¢+5¢$51.5K3/51by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting+5¢1¢
$51.5K3/51
by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting
66¢−37¢$6.4K6/15by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting−37¢66¢
$6.4K6/15
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
28 YESvs157 NO
15%85%
85% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 92% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $137 is directional: YES $126·NO $11YES Team
Total Invested
$26.2K
Avg Win Rate
83.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$24.4K(-93.0%)
Whales
28
O
Official-Market-Maker🥇hedged
Entry 101¢·18,173.2 shares·also $7 on NO
Invested
$18.3K
Win Rate
87.1%
Position P&L
$-18303
$-18303INV $18.3K · WR 87.1%
G
Gst2🥈
Entry 100¢·3,200 shares
Invested
$3.2K
Win Rate
69.7%
Position P&L
$-3197
$-3197INV $3.2K · WR 69.7%
I
itsjustcheddar🥉
Entry 98¢·1,245 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
80.8%
Position P&L
$-1225
$-1225INV $1.2K · WR 80.8%
W
wildplayhedged
Entry 100¢·911.2 shares·also $4 on NO
Invested
$908
Win Rate
84.4%
Position P&L
$-908
$-908INV $908 · WR 84.4%
D
debank1
Entry 100¢·600 shares
Invested
$597
Win Rate
71.2%
Position P&L
$-597
$-597INV $597 · WR 71.2%
A
AllByMyseIf
Entry 0¢·60,821.2 shares
Invested
$120
Win Rate
70.8%
Position P&L
$-120
$-120INV $120 · WR 70.8%
S
Simon4shedged
Entry 0¢·9,043.6 shares·also $7.2K on NO
Invested
$14
Win Rate
74.4%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $14 · WR 74.4%
F
FreeCityIndividual◆Proven
Entry 0¢·4,951.2 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
63.9%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $6 · WR 63.9%
L
linghiyi
Entry 0¢·1,220 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
77.1%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 77.1%
K
KimWell21hedged
Entry 0¢·959.3 shares·also $958 on NO
Invested
$2
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 66.8%
Showing top 10 of 28
NO Team
Total Invested
$35.1K
Avg Win Rate
79.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$255.9K(+728.9%)
Whales
157
I
influenz.eth🥇
Entry 7¢·103,320.7 shares
Invested
$7.5K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$95826
+$95826INV $7.5K · WR 85.8%
S
Simon4s🥈hedged
Entry 100¢·7,195 shares·also $14 on YES
Invested
$7.2K
Win Rate
74.4%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $7.2K · WR 74.4%
T
Tehgameguy🥉
Entry 100¢·4,810 shares
Invested
$4.8K
Win Rate
61.9%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $4.8K · WR 61.9%
N
Novus0rdoSeclorum
Entry 19¢·18,211.2 shares
Invested
$3.5K
Win Rate
83.8%
Position P&L
+$14681
+$14681INV $3.5K · WR 83.8%
W
wokerjoesleeper
Entry 7¢·45,240.4 shares
Invested
$3.3K
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$41990
+$41990INV $3.3K · WR 87.6%
R
rated
Entry 10¢·29,894.7 shares
Invested
$3.0K
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$26854
+$26854INV $3.0K · WR 87.7%
P
Paeniscus.
Entry 31¢·6,511.6 shares
Invested
$2.0K
Win Rate
93.0%
Position P&L
+$4497
+$4497INV $2.0K · WR 93.0%
K
KimWell21hedged
Entry 100¢·959.3 shares·also $2 on YES
Invested
$958
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $958 · WR 66.8%
F
flow-trader-at-optiver
Entry 0¢·32,082.7 shares
Invested
$51
Win Rate
81.6%
Position P&L
+$32032
+$32032INV $51 · WR 81.6%
P
Pure-Threat◆Proven
Entry 0¢·29,760 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
82.0%
Position P&L
+$29730
+$29730INV $30 · WR 82.0%
Showing top 10 of 157
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