Politics58 days left

Vance's Republican nomination odds hit 40% by December 31?

YES Price
44¢
44% implied
NO Price
56¢
56% implied
Volume
$1.4K
85 trades
Smart Whales
4
of 61 traders · 1 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

4 YESvs1 NO
80%20%
80% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 3% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 51%· net of hedges
+60 new YES$3.4K+17 new NO$3.5K
$1.2K of this was bought on both sides by the same 15 buyers — left out of momentum
5 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$10 of $2.3K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $61·NO $2.2K

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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