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Politics16 days left

Will the right bloc win the Spanish election by 60-69 seats?

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
10¢
10% implied
NO Price
90¢
90% implied
Volume
$5.8K
111 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 56 traders

Spain General Election: Left-Right Seat Margin of Victory

11 MARKETS · $17.5K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

8 YESvs4 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 10¢
YES 67%NO 33%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 10¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 5% YES by dollars · 8 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 76%
+5 new YES · 2 smart whales+2 new NO · 2 smart whales
In-form wallets ⓘ5 of 6 on YES
YES 5NO 1one dot = one wallet
5 wallets on YES
1 wallet on NO

The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 1h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested

Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $3.3K is directional: YES $175·NO $3.2K
YES Team
Total Invested
$175
Avg Win Rate
61.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$49(-28.1%)
Whales
8
V
viniiProven🥇
Entry 14¢·408.8 shares
$-16INV $57 · WR 66.8%
A
Askeladd.🥈
Entry 17¢·239.8 shares
$-17INV $41 · WR 58.3%
G
Glistening-Naming🥉
Entry 14¢·285 shares
$-12INV $40 · WR 58.1%
L
longliveapplesProven
Entry 9¢·187.8 shares
+$1INV $18 · WR 61.2%
G
geylord20
Entry 17¢·59.2 shares
$-4INV $10 · WR 61.7%
R
romanew-1-new
Entry 11¢·56.8 shares
$-1INV $6 · WR 63.7%
S
Strident-Commercial-Swell
Entry 14¢·9 shares
$-0INV $1 · WR 56.9%
N
newbiejjh
Entry 7¢·14.3 shares
+$0INV $1 · WR 76.0%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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