YES Price
52¢
52% implied
NO Price
48¢
48% implied
Volume
$1.8K
92 trades
Smart Whales
24
of 66 traders · 2 on both sides
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 4?
11 MARKETS · $13.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C or below on November 4
0¢+50¢$2.0K1/1Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C or below on November 4+50¢0¢
$2.0K1/1
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on November 4
0¢+100¢$3012/0Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on November 4+100¢0¢
$3012/0
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 4
0¢+40¢$2882/3Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 4+40¢0¢
$2882/3
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 4
0¢+17¢$6872/10Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 4+17¢0¢
$6872/10
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on November 4
2¢+7¢$1.2K1/10Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on November 4+7¢2¢
$1.2K1/10
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 4
19¢−9¢$2.1K2/18Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 4−9¢19¢
$2.1K2/18
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on November 4←
52¢−34¢$1.8K4/18Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on November 4←−34¢52¢
$1.8K4/18
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on November 4
23¢−2¢$2.8K4/15Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on November 4−2¢23¢
$2.8K4/15
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on November 4
3¢+18¢$9233/11Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on November 4+18¢3¢
$9233/11
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
7 YESvs19 NO
27%73%
73% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 52% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 5 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 51%· net of hedges
+37 new YES$901+42 new NO$941
$427 of this was bought on both sides by the same 12 buyers — left out of momentum
5 smart whales18 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$3 of $236 is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $121·NO $112YES Team
Total Invested
$125
Avg Win Rate
60.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$53(+42.0%)
Whales
7
B
BeresBalu🥇
Entry 51¢·150 shares
Invested
$77
Win Rate
59.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $77 · WR 59.1%
G
ghlhjke🥈
Entry 50¢·40 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $20 · WR 56.9%
F
flocci1200🥉
Entry 10¢·120 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$50
+$50INV $12 · WR 79.6%
S
shiping
Entry 52¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
—
—INV $10 · WR 55.0%
S
Spotless-Investigator-Overcoathedged
Entry 50¢·5 shares·also $0 on NO
Invested
$3
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $3 · WR 60.2%
L
Limping-Baggie-Techniquehedged
Entry 50¢·5 shares·also $6 on NO
Invested
$3
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $3 · WR 60.2%
F
0xf77e746b...hedged
Entry 50¢·2.3 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$1
Win Rate
66.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 66.3%
NO Team
Total Invested
$322
Avg Win Rate
73.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$15(-4.6%)
Whales
19
B
Bilberry🥇
Entry 49¢·205.5 shares
Invested
$102
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $102 · WR 56.8%
G
graynotebook19🥈
Entry 50¢·88.2 shares
Invested
$44
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $44 · WR 89.2%
L
Lucerys🥉
Entry 51¢·62.6 shares
Invested
$32
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $32 · WR 88.0%
M
melchior1248
Entry 51¢·60.6 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $31 · WR 69.8%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 52¢·40 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
79.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $21 · WR 79.7%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 50¢·40 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $20 · WR 86.2%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 53¢·30 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $16 · WR 88.9%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 47¢·30.4 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
87.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $14 · WR 87.0%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 49¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $10 · WR 88.2%
H
heyhighhuii1
Entry 62¢·10 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
58.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $6 · WR 58.9%
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