YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$1.2K
34 trades
Smart Whales
13
of 31 traders · 1 on both sides
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 4?
11 MARKETS · $13.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C or below on November 4
0¢+50¢$2.0K1/1Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C or below on November 4+50¢0¢
$2.0K1/1
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on November 4
0¢+100¢$3012/0Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on November 4+100¢0¢
$3012/0
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 4
0¢+40¢$2882/3Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 4+40¢0¢
$2882/3
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 4
0¢+17¢$6872/10Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 4+17¢0¢
$6872/10
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on November 4←
2¢+7¢$1.2K1/10Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on November 4←+7¢2¢
$1.2K1/10
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 4
19¢−9¢$2.1K2/18Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 4−9¢19¢
$2.1K2/18
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on November 4
52¢−34¢$1.8K4/18Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on November 4−34¢52¢
$1.8K4/18
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on November 4
23¢−2¢$2.8K4/15Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on November 4−2¢23¢
$2.8K4/15
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on November 4
3¢+18¢$9233/11Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on November 4+18¢3¢
$9233/11
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs11 NO
21%79%
79% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 17% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 98%· net of hedges
+15 new YES$29+17 new NO$1.1K
$1 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
1 smart whale11 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$9 of $80 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $12·NO $59YES Team
Total Invested
$17
Avg Win Rate
77.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$13(-78.0%)
Whales
3
F
flocci1200🥇
Entry 10¢·120 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $12 · WR 79.6%
B
balthazar🥈hedged
Entry 9¢·49.4 shares·also $25 on NO
Invested
$4
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $4 · WR 72.1%
C
Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon🥉
Entry 3¢·5 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 60.3%
NO Team
Total Invested
$414
Avg Win Rate
85.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$2(+0.4%)
Whales
11
G
godblessme2026🥇
Entry 99¢·125 shares
Invested
$123
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $123 · WR 88.2%
L
Lucerys🥈
Entry 97¢·62.6 shares
Invested
$61
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $61 · WR 88.0%
Q
qwen300.fund🥉
Entry 97¢·40 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $39 · WR 86.2%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 97¢·40 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
79.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $39 · WR 79.7%
O
oleg19x
Entry 95¢·40 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $38 · WR 86.2%
N
northdrawer
Entry 98¢·30 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $29 · WR 87.7%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 97¢·30 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $29 · WR 88.7%
B
balthazarhedged
Entry 99¢·25 shares·also $4 on YES
Invested
$25
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $25 · WR 72.1%
G
god83743894
Entry 97¢·20 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $19 · WR 86.1%
E
Exciting-Hat-Vegetarian
Entry 97¢·11.2 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
60.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $11 · WR 60.1%
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