Politics90 days left
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?
YES Price
17¢
17% implied
NO Price
83¢
83% implied
Volume
$62.4K
1,770 trades
Smart Whales
44
of 381 traders
Smart Money Consensus
22 YESvs22 NO
50%50%
50% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 30% YES by dollars · 8 YES vs 8 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 83%
+1 new YES$1+1 new NO$4
1 smart whale0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $2.6K is directional: YES $761·NO $1.8KYES Team
Total Invested
$3.4K
Avg Win Rate
70.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.2K(-63.6%)
Whales
22
G
GollumGekko🥇hedged
Entry 85¢·2,419.4 shares·also $477 on NO
Invested
$2.1K
Win Rate
75.9%
Position P&L
$-1651
$-1651INV $2.1K · WR 75.9%
I
ImJustKen🥈
Entry 20¢·3,393.1 shares
Invested
$680
Win Rate
61.3%
Position P&L
$-120
$-120INV $680 · WR 61.3%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥉
Entry 84¢·400 shares
Invested
$338
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
$-272
$-272INV $338 · WR 57.8%
G
garkein
Entry 60¢·200.1 shares
Invested
$121
Win Rate
73.1%
Position P&L
$-88
$-88INV $121 · WR 73.1%
P
pecepe
Entry 18¢·350 shares
Invested
$63
Win Rate
73.6%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $63 · WR 73.6%
D
depeerhedged
Entry 27¢·200 shares·also $147 on NO
Invested
$55
Win Rate
59.3%
Position P&L
$-22
$-22INV $55 · WR 59.3%
K
KrauzeNhedged
Entry 73¢·55 shares·also $7 on NO
Invested
$40
Win Rate
60.1%
Position P&L
$-31
$-31INV $40 · WR 60.1%
R
rontro28
Entry 20¢·200 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $40 · WR 56.0%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 6¢·207 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
67.0%
Position P&L
+$22
+$22INV $12 · WR 67.0%
P
pvaluespredictionhedged
Entry 60¢·20 shares·also $16 on NO
Invested
$12
Win Rate
81.6%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $12 · WR 81.6%
Showing top 10 of 22
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.6K
Avg Win Rate
73.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$2.1K(+82.8%)
Whales
22
T
tedward111🥇
Entry 81¢·1,269.4 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
67.1%
Position P&L
+$37
+$37INV $1.0K · WR 67.1%
H
HotDogs🥈
Entry 45¢·1,067.8 shares
Invested
$482
Win Rate
93.7%
Position P&L
+$415
+$415INV $482 · WR 93.7%
G
GollumGekko🥉hedged
Entry 20¢·2,326.4 shares·also $2.1K on YES
Invested
$477
Win Rate
75.9%
Position P&L
+$1466
+$1466INV $477 · WR 75.9%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 85¢·271.1 shares
Invested
$229
Win Rate
68.6%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $229 · WR 68.6%
D
depeerhedged
Entry 73¢·200 shares·also $55 on YES
Invested
$147
Win Rate
59.3%
Position P&L
+$21
+$21INV $147 · WR 59.3%
B
barcodesellout
Entry 74¢·40 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $30 · WR 61.2%
I
IRanIchTeamhedged
Entry 74¢·33.5 shares·also $8 on YES
Invested
$25
Win Rate
55.7%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $25 · WR 55.7%
R
ROOKIE
Entry 87¢·20 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
55.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $17 · WR 55.1%
S
Scoopdewhoop
Entry 82¢·20 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
55.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $16 · WR 55.1%
P
pvaluespredictionhedged
Entry 78¢·20 shares·also $12 on YES
Invested
$16
Win Rate
81.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $16 · WR 81.6%
Showing top 10 of 22
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