134 days left

Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?

Trade on Polymarket

YES Price

37¢

37% implied

NO Price

63¢

63% implied

Volume

$3.4K

156 trades

Smart Whales

of 65 traders

Reserve Bank of New Zealand Decision in March?

7 MARKETS · $29.7K MATCHED

Smart Money

by 25 bps at the February meeting

59¢−29¢$7.2K3/7

by 25 bps at the February meeting−29¢59¢

$7.2K3/7

by 50+ bps at the February meeting

3¢−3¢$8000/7

by 50+ bps at the February meeting−3¢3¢

$8000/7

by 50+ bps at the March meeting

1¢−1¢$6920/3

by 50+ bps at the March meeting−1¢1¢

$6920/3

by 25 bps at the March meeting

16¢+4¢$15.9K2/8

by 25 bps at the March meeting+4¢16¢

$15.9K2/8

Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate at the March meeting

39¢−14¢$8851/3

Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate at the March meeting−14¢39¢

$8851/3

by 25 bps at the March meeting←

37¢−37¢$3.4K0/2

by 25 bps at the March meeting←−37¢37¢

$3.4K0/2

by 50+ bps at the March meeting

7¢−7¢$8370/5

by 50+ bps at the March meeting−7¢7¢

$8370/5

Hover a row for the full Polymarket title

Smart Money Consensus

0 YESvs2 NO

100%

100% of smart money holding this market is on NO

Last 24h FlowNO momentum 57%· net of hedges

+6 new YES$45+4 new NO$50

$60 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum

YES Team

Total Invested

Avg Win Rate

unknown

Aggregate P&L

—

Whales

No smart whales on YES

NO Team

Total Invested

$28

Avg Win Rate

87.9%

Aggregate P&L

-$6(-22.1%)

Whales

$-5INV $18 · WR 88.0%

$-1INV $11 · WR 87.7%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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