134 days left

Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate at the March meeting?

Trade on Polymarket

YES Price

39¢

39% implied

NO Price

61¢

61% implied

Volume

$885

54 trades

Smart Whales

3

of 33 traders · 1 on both sides

Reserve Bank of New Zealand Decision in March?

5 MARKETS · $21.7K MATCHED

Smart Money

by 25 bps at the March meeting

16¢+4¢$15.9K2/8

by 25 bps at the March meeting+4¢16¢

by 50+ bps at the March meeting

1¢−1¢$6920/3

by 50+ bps at the March meeting−1¢1¢

by 25 bps at the March meeting

37¢−37¢$3.4K0/2

by 25 bps at the March meeting−37¢37¢

by 50+ bps at the March meeting

7¢−7¢$8370/5

by 50+ bps at the March meeting−7¢7¢

Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate at the March meeting←

39¢−14¢$8851/3

Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate at the March meeting←−14¢39¢

Hover a row for the full Polymarket title

Smart Money Consensus

1 YESvs3 NO

25%75%

75% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 1 NO taking a side

Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

$1 of $2 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $0·NO $2

YES Team

Total Invested

$0

Avg Win Rate

80.7%

Aggregate P&L

+$0(+10.7%)

Whales

1

respectmyauthoritah🥇hedged

Entry 37¢·0.8 shares·also $2 on NO

+$0INV $0 · WR 80.7%

NO Team

Total Invested

$16

Avg Win Rate

86.3%

Aggregate P&L

+$7(+45.8%)

Whales

3

Entry 41¢·20 shares

+$4INV $8 · WR 88.0%

god83743894🥈

Entry 39¢·15 shares

+$3INV $6 · WR 86.1%

respectmyauthoritah🥉hedged

Entry 55¢·3.9 shares·also $0 on YES

+$0INV $2 · WR 80.7%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 38% YES: the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make…