Geopolitics16 days left

Will Russia capture Dobropillia by November 30, 2026?

YES Price
5¢
5% implied
NO Price
95¢
95% implied
Volume
$6.3K
106 trades
Smart Whales
7
of 63 traders

Smart Money Consensus

1 YESvs6 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 5¢
YES 14%NO 86%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 5¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 5% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 6 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
In-form wallets ⓘ2 of 3 on NO
YES 1NO 2one dot = one wallet
1 wallet on YES

The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 3 days ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested

Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.3K is directional: YES $61·NO $1.2K

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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