Sports178 days left

Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$872.9K
14,709 trades
Smart Whales
223
of 3,331 traders · 1 on both sides

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

27 MARKETS · $25.89M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

119 YESvs105 NO
53%47%
53% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 16% YES by dollars · 48 YES vs 31 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 97%· net of hedges
+12 new YES$91+5 new NO$2.6K
$20 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
3 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$4 of $17.3K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $2.7K·NO $14.6K

Smart Whale Trades

Loading trades...

Price History (YES)

Loading chart...
Loaded in 243ms