Politics3 days left

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

YES Price
30¢
30% implied
NO Price
70¢
70% implied
Volume
$5.59M
18,452 trades
Smart Whales
536
of 3,644 traders · 3 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

197 YESvs342 NO
37%64%
64% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 9% YES by dollars · 153 YES vs 213 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 78%· net of hedges
+162 new YES$87.4K+99 new NO$290.4K
$10.6K of this was bought on both sides by the same 23 buyers — left out of momentum
9 smart whales34 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$361 of $721.0K is hedged across different prices by 3 wallets. True directional: YES $67.6K·NO $653.1K

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 37% YES: the Republicans win the Texas Senate…