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Politics3 days left

Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
14¢
14% implied
NO Price
86¢
86% implied
Volume
$189.3K
2,950 trades
Smart Whales
115
of 618 traders

Iowa Governor Election Winner

2 MARKETS · $408.8K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

24 YESvs91 NO
21%79%
79% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 5% YES by dollars · 17 YES vs 34 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 90%· net of hedges
+15 new YES$190+15 new NO$1.6K
$18 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale7 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $9.6K is directional: YES $503·NO $9.1K
YES Team
Total Invested
$622
Avg Win Rate
66.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$178(-28.6%)
Whales
24
N
nicoco89🥇
Entry 36¢·345.5 shares
$-74INV $124 · WR 62.6%
V
Venerated-Pilgrim🥈
Entry 37¢·181.4 shares
$-42INV $68 · WR 73.3%
P
probabilityProven🥉
Entry 24¢·270.4 shares
$-26INV $65 · WR 60.0%
C
Capital-Endoderm
Entry 36¢·169.6 shares
$-36INV $61 · WR 60.3%
Z
zzzx2
Entry 12¢·500 shares
+$13INV $60 · WR 84.0%
S
SpectrumProven
Entry 13¢·400 shares
+$6INV $52 · WR 60.8%
O
oneofthepplProven
Entry 13¢·148 shares
+$2INV $19 · WR 63.1%
S
Suet-Lam
Entry 38¢·40 shares
$-10INV $15 · WR 61.3%
L
LexingtonProven
Entry 13¢·70.5 shares
+$1INV $9 · WR 66.8%
H
Hjklm
Entry 18¢·53.9 shares
$-2INV $9 · WR 87.5%
Showing top 10 of 24

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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