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Will the biggest earthquake on October 29, 2026 be 6.1 or more?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
96¢
96% implied
NO Price
4¢
4% implied
Volume
$2.2K
49 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 35 traders

What will the biggest earthquake be on October 29, 2026?

6 MARKETS · $5.4K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

6 YESvs6 NO
50%50%
50% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 93% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 71%· net of hedges
+18 new YES$1.6K+30 new NO$763
$319 of this was bought on both sides by the same 12 buyers — left out of momentum
6 smart whales7 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.2K is directional: YES $1.1K·NO $88
YES Team
Total Invested
$1.1K
Avg Win Rate
72.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$251(+22.8%)
Whales
6
E
ergodiclab🥇
Entry 75¢·1,153.4 shares
+$233INV $863 · WR 73.2%
J
johnsalchichon🥈
Entry 98¢·201 shares
$-6INV $197 · WR 65.7%
H
Henryfifthofhisname🥉
Entry 95¢·19 shares
—INV $18 · WR 76.5%
O
onit1978
Entry 96¢·18.7 shares
$-0INV $18 · WR 94.9%
E
e46m3
Entry 17¢·26.6 shares
+$21INV $4 · WR 79.4%
T
terremotogem
Entry 30¢·6.1 shares
+$4INV $2 · WR 93.3%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 50% YES: the biggest earthquake on October 29…