143 days left

Will "Fatherland" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?

View on Polymarket

YES Price

3¢

3% implied

NO Price

97¢

97% implied

Volume

$527

31 trades

Smart Whales

of 17 traders

Oscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Nominations

18 MARKETS · $31.4K MATCHED

Smart Money

"A Place in Hell"

1¢−1¢$5310/2

"A Place in Hell"−1¢1¢

"Forgotten Island"—4¢

"Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma"

14¢−14¢$3.1K0/1

"Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma"−14¢14¢

$3.1K0/1

"The Black Ball"

2¢+38¢$2.8K2/3

"The Black Ball"+38¢2¢

"The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth"

3¢+47¢$6311/1

"The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth"+47¢3¢

"Wild Horse Nine"−43¢93¢

$8642/2

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Smart Money Consensus

1 YESvs1 NO

50%50%

50% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 4% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 1 NO taking a side

Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $74 is directional: YES $3·NO $71

YES Team

Total Invested

Avg Win Rate

69.3%

Aggregate P&L

-$2(-74.2%)

Whales

NO Team

Total Invested

$71

Avg Win Rate

74.9%

Aggregate P&L

+$8(+11.1%)

Whales

sweetj🥇

Entry 86¢·82.5 shares

+$8INV $71 · WR 74.9%

Smart Whale Trades

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