143 days left

Will "The Drama" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?

View on Polymarket

YES Price

20¢

20% implied

NO Price

80¢

80% implied

Volume

$4.7K

96 trades

Smart Whales

2

of 39 traders

Oscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Nominations

18 MARKETS · $31.4K MATCHED

Smart Money

"A Place in Hell"

1¢−1¢$5310/2

"A Place in Hell"−1¢1¢

21¢+79¢$5211/0

"Behemoth!"+79¢21¢

59¢−9¢$2.6K1/1

"Club Kid"−9¢59¢

14¢+53¢$9.1K2/1

"Digger"+53¢14¢

28¢+22¢$7621/1

"Elsinore"+22¢28¢

3¢+47¢$5271/1

"Fatherland"+47¢3¢

47¢—$1.1K0/0

"Forgotten Island"

"Forgotten Island"—4¢

10¢−10¢$2500/1

"Josephine"−10¢10¢

53¢−28¢$7201/3

"Obsession"−28¢53¢

"Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma"

14¢−14¢$3.1K0/1

"Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma"−14¢14¢

"The Black Ball"

2¢+38¢$2.8K2/3

"The Black Ball"+38¢2¢

84¢−34¢$9241/1

"The Debut"−34¢84¢

20¢+30¢$4.7K1/1

"The Drama"←+30¢20¢

"The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth"

3¢+47¢$6311/1

"The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth"+47¢3¢

4¢−4¢$5950/1

"The Invite"−4¢4¢

4¢+29¢$1.7K1/2

"The Odyssey"+29¢4¢

"Wild Horse Nine"

93¢−43¢$8642/2

"Wild Horse Nine"−43¢93¢

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Smart Money Consensus

1 YESvs1 NO

50%50%

50% of smart money holding this market is on YES

Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries

YES Team

Total Invested

$43

Avg Win Rate

58.1%

Aggregate P&L

-$41(-95.3%)

Whales

1

BAO95889🥇hedged

Entry 428¢·10 shares·also $9 on NO

$-41INV $43 · WR 58.1%

NO Team

Total Invested

$9

Avg Win Rate

58.1%

Aggregate P&L

-$1(-7.5%)

Whales

1

BAO95889🥇hedged

Entry 87¢·10 shares·also $43 on YES

$-1INV $9 · WR 58.1%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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