S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 15?
YES Price
50¢
50% implied
NO Price
50¢
50% implied
Volume
$1.9K
228 trades
Smart Whales
46
of 106 traders · 1 on both sides
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on October 15?
11 MARKETS · $30.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
15 YESvs32 NO
32%68%
68% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 44% YES by dollars · 12 YES vs 29 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 52%· net of hedges
+49 new YES$1.3K+70 new NO$1.4K
$418 of this was bought on both sides by the same 15 buyers — left out of momentum
15 smart whales31 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$2 of $448 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $196·NO $250YES Team
Total Invested
$211
Avg Win Rate
74.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$20(+9.7%)
Whales
15
F
Frail-Item🥇
Entry 49¢·380 shares
Invested
$185
Win Rate
77.0%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $185 · WR 77.0%
T
thanksforplayin🥈hedged
Entry 33¢·35.2 shares·also $18 on NO
Invested
$12
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $12 · WR 55.6%
A
0xa0acb17b...🥉hedged
Entry 46¢·4.4 shares·also $3 on NO
Invested
$2
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 58.7%
F
0xfdc36aec...
Entry 34¢·3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $1 · WR 57.1%
2
0x24011650...
Entry 34¢·3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
63.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $1 · WR 63.0%
8
0x8061aa44...
Entry 34¢·3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
57.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $1 · WR 57.5%
8
0x81ec7b9f...
Entry 34¢·3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $1 · WR 57.9%
3
0x345bf943...
Entry 34¢·3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $1 · WR 57.7%
3
0x353ba755...hedged
Entry 34¢·3 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$1
Win Rate
60.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $1 · WR 60.8%
3
0x395dacb6...
Entry 34¢·3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $1 · WR 58.8%
Showing top 10 of 15
NO Team
Total Invested
$272
Avg Win Rate
60.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$78(-28.8%)
Whales
32
G
grasstoucher69🥇
Entry 72¢·138.4 shares
Invested
$99
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
$-32
$-32INV $99 · WR 58.5%
H
heyguys01🥈
Entry 73¢·102.3 shares
Invested
$75
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
$-25
$-25INV $75 · WR 69.8%
C
capib🥉
Entry 65¢·77.3 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $50 · WR 55.0%
T
thanksforplayinhedged
Entry 51¢·35.2 shares·also $12 on YES
Invested
$18
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $18 · WR 55.6%
A
0xa0acb17b...hedged
Entry 63¢·4.5 shares·also $2 on YES
Invested
$3
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $3 · WR 58.7%
0
0x072d36d1...
Entry 50¢·2 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
60.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 60.9%
7
0x7d0b7bc0...
Entry 48¢·2.1 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
58.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 58.6%
A
0xa0a93b30...
Entry 49¢·2.1 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
57.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 57.3%
1
0x11021f0c...
Entry 71¢·1.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
63.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 63.3%
1
0x1324d2fb...
Entry 71¢·1.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 57.8%
Showing top 10 of 32
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