Politics170 days left

Will Bruno Retailleau win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

Trade on Polymarket

YES Price

2¢

2% implied

NO Price

98¢

98% implied

Volume

$876

60 trades

Smart Whales

15

of 29 traders

French Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

16 MARKETS · $33.9K MATCHED

Smart Money

5¢+16¢$2.7K3/11

Marine Le Pen+16¢5¢

Édouard Philippe

22¢+2¢$3.3K4/13

Édouard Philippe+2¢22¢

19¢−13¢$3.8K1/16

David Lisnard−13¢19¢

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

31¢−25¢$9.8K1/16

Jean-Luc Mélenchon−25¢31¢

François Hollande

2¢−2¢$8390/13

François Hollande−2¢2¢

6¢−6¢$2.7K0/12

Gabriel Attal−6¢6¢

Raphaël Glucksmann

14¢+5¢$3.0K3/13

Raphaël Glucksmann+5¢14¢

Bruno Retailleau←

2¢+23¢$8764/12

Bruno Retailleau←+23¢2¢

2¢−2¢$9820/12

Sarah Knafo−2¢2¢

Dominique de Villepin

1¢−1¢$6930/10

Dominique de Villepin−1¢1¢

Christine Lagarde

5¢+2¢$1.9K1/14

Christine Lagarde+2¢5¢

2¢−2¢$7960/11

Éric Zemmour−2¢2¢

Jordan Bardella

2¢−2¢$8540/13

Jordan Bardella−2¢2¢

Sébastien Lecornu

0¢+73¢$31611/4

Sébastien Lecornu+73¢0¢

François Ruffin

1¢+28¢$7674/10

François Ruffin+28¢1¢

Marine Tondelier

0¢+47¢$5137/8

Marine Tondelier+47¢0¢

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Smart Money Consensus

3 YESvs12 NO

20%80%

80% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 0 NO taking a side

Last 24h FlowNO momentum 98%

+2 new YES$1+1 new NO$42

0 smart whales1 smart whale

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $1 is directional: YES $1·NO $0

YES Team

Total Invested

$1

Avg Win Rate

85.5%

Aggregate P&L

+$1(+65.1%)

Whales

3

LesterDiamond🥇

Entry 2¢·50.1 shares

+$1INV $1 · WR 87.7%

Entry 2¢·12.3 shares

+$0INV $0 · WR 79.3%

godblessme2026🥉

Entry 1¢·1 shares

+$0INV $0 · WR 88.0%

NO Team

Total Invested

$417

Avg Win Rate

85.8%

Aggregate P&L

+$118(+28.2%)

Whales

12

quietparcel🥇

Entry 99¢·145 shares

$-2INV $144 · WR 88.6%

qwen300.fund🥈

Entry 71¢·70 shares

+$19INV $50 · WR 86.0%

god83743894🥉

Entry 100¢·42 shares

$-1INV $42 · WR 85.9%

Entry 99¢·42.2 shares

$-1INV $42 · WR 87.6%

Entry 99¢·25 shares

$-0INV $25 · WR 88.1%

Entry 50¢·46 shares

+$22INV $23 · WR 89.1%

Revolving-Stimulus-Pride

Entry 50¢·42 shares

+$20INV $21 · WR 86.8%

Entry 50¢·40 shares

+$19INV $20 · WR 72.0%

Deserted-Surroundings

Entry 50¢·36 shares

+$17INV $18 · WR 80.0%

Roasted-Skyscraper-Imagination

Entry 50¢·36 shares

+$17INV $18 · WR 74.8%

Showing top 10 of 12

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