Politics170 days left

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

Trade on Polymarket

YES Price

31¢

31% implied

NO Price

69¢

69% implied

Volume

$9.8K

214 trades

Smart Whales

17

of 98 traders

French Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

16 MARKETS · $33.9K MATCHED

Smart Money

5¢+16¢$2.7K3/11

Marine Le Pen+16¢5¢

Édouard Philippe

22¢+2¢$3.3K4/13

Édouard Philippe+2¢22¢

19¢−13¢$3.8K1/16

David Lisnard−13¢19¢

Jean-Luc Mélenchon←

31¢−25¢$9.8K1/16

Jean-Luc Mélenchon←−25¢31¢

François Hollande

2¢−2¢$8390/13

François Hollande−2¢2¢

6¢−6¢$2.7K0/12

Gabriel Attal−6¢6¢

Raphaël Glucksmann

14¢+5¢$3.0K3/13

Raphaël Glucksmann+5¢14¢

Bruno Retailleau

2¢+23¢$8764/12

Bruno Retailleau+23¢2¢

2¢−2¢$9820/12

Sarah Knafo−2¢2¢

Dominique de Villepin

1¢−1¢$6930/10

Dominique de Villepin−1¢1¢

Christine Lagarde

5¢+2¢$1.9K1/14

Christine Lagarde+2¢5¢

2¢−2¢$7960/11

Éric Zemmour−2¢2¢

Jordan Bardella

2¢−2¢$8540/13

Jordan Bardella−2¢2¢

Sébastien Lecornu

0¢+73¢$31611/4

Sébastien Lecornu+73¢0¢

François Ruffin

1¢+28¢$7674/10

François Ruffin+28¢1¢

Marine Tondelier

0¢+47¢$5137/8

Marine Tondelier+47¢0¢

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Smart Money Consensus

1 YESvs16 NO

94%

94% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 2 NO taking a side

Last 24h FlowNO momentum 62%· net of hedges

+10 new YES$83+9 new NO$114

$71 of this was bought on both sides by the same 6 buyers — left out of momentum

0 smart whales1 smart whale

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $321 is directional: YES $0·NO $321

YES Team

Total Invested

$908

Avg Win Rate

66.2%

Aggregate P&L

-$486(-53.5%)

Whales

1

vinii🥇hedged

Entry 67¢·1,362 shares·also $509 on NO

$-486INV $908 · WR 66.2%

NO Team

Total Invested

$1.1K

Avg Win Rate

69.4%

Aggregate P&L

+$400(+35.7%)

Whales

16

vinii🥇hedged

Entry 41¢·1,237 shares·also $908 on YES

+$345INV $509 · WR 66.2%

Entry 64¢·500 shares

+$25INV $320 · WR 60.2%

northdrawer🥉

Entry 66¢·125 shares

+$4INV $83 · WR 87.6%

Entry 66¢·50.1 shares

+$2INV $33 · WR 87.7%

Entry 62¢·50 shares

+$4INV $31 · WR 86.0%

Entry 63¢·42.2 shares

+$2INV $27 · WR 87.6%

Entry 66¢·40.1 shares

+$1INV $26 · WR 84.5%

Entry 50¢·40 shares

+$8INV $20 · WR 69.7%

Entry 64¢·25 shares

+$1INV $16 · WR 88.1%

Entry 61¢·24.8 shares

+$2INV $15 · WR 79.3%

Showing top 10 of 16

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