YES Price
44¢
44% implied
NO Price
56¢
56% implied
Volume
$1.9K
200 trades
Smart Whales
22
of 101 traders
Highest temperature in Tokyo on October 11?
11 MARKETS · $7.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C or below on October 11
1¢−1¢$4450/1Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C or below on October 11−1¢1¢
$4450/1
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 11
0¢+25¢$5101/3Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 11+25¢0¢
$5101/3
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 11
0¢+40¢$4032/3Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 11+40¢0¢
$4032/3
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 11
1¢+59¢$2803/2Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 11+59¢1¢
$2803/2
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 11
4¢+9¢$5251/7Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 11+9¢4¢
$5251/7
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 11←
44¢+12¢$1.9K5/4Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 11←+12¢44¢
$1.9K5/4
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 11
46¢−2¢$1.2K4/5Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 11−2¢46¢
$1.2K4/5
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 11
6¢−6¢$8660/7Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 11−6¢6¢
$8660/7
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 11
1¢+16¢$3251/5Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 11+16¢1¢
$3251/5
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
8 YESvs14 NO
36%64%
64% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 64% YES by dollars · 8 YES vs 7 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 61%· net of hedges
+42 new YES$740+61 new NO$1.1K
$303 of this was bought on both sides by the same 12 buyers — left out of momentum
5 smart whales15 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $152 is directional: YES $98·NO $55YES Team
Total Invested
$98
Avg Win Rate
63.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$16(+16.0%)
Whales
8
K
kerbrerv🥇
Entry 43¢·85.4 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
62.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $37 · WR 62.7%
C
cleaningLady🥈
Entry 43¢·76 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
61.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $33 · WR 61.3%
M
Mikhail2026🥉
Entry 42¢·23.8 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $10 · WR 58.8%
L
Laptev1985
Entry 42¢·11.9 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
63.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 · WR 63.2%
T
thunderfrog
Entry 44¢·9.3 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
78.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $4 · WR 78.6%
A
AuspiciousWolf
Entry 41¢·10 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
61.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $4 · WR 61.4%
D
donthackme
Entry 9¢·39.9 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $4 · WR 87.7%
N
neverhackme
Entry 9¢·10.2 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
75.9%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $1 · WR 75.9%
NO Team
Total Invested
$185
Avg Win Rate
76.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$11(+5.7%)
Whales
14
G
graynotebook19🥇
Entry 52¢·80 shares
Invested
$41
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $41 · WR 89.3%
B
Bilberry🥈
Entry 56¢·66.9 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
59.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $38 · WR 59.0%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 50¢·65.5 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $33 · WR 79.5%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 57¢·40 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $23 · WR 86.1%
B
balthazar
Entry 57¢·20 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $11 · WR 72.2%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $10 · WR 88.2%
N
Near-Science
Entry 59¢·13.4 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
61.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $8 · WR 61.9%
2
0x2ecc6b99...
Entry 50¢·13.2 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
68.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $7 · WR 68.8%
4
0x454335e3...
Entry 57¢·8.9 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 · WR 57.1%
S
SHWABRA
Entry 60¢·1.9 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
64.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 64.3%
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