YES Price
4¢
4% implied
NO Price
96¢
96% implied
Volume
$525
77 trades
Smart Whales
15
of 43 traders
Highest temperature in Tokyo on October 11?
11 MARKETS · $7.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C or below on October 11
1¢−1¢$4450/1Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C or below on October 11−1¢1¢
$4450/1
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 11
0¢+25¢$5101/3Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 11+25¢0¢
$5101/3
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 11
0¢+40¢$4032/3Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 11+40¢0¢
$4032/3
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 11
1¢+59¢$2803/2Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 11+59¢1¢
$2803/2
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 11←
4¢+9¢$5251/7Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 11←+9¢4¢
$5251/7
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 11
44¢+12¢$1.9K5/4Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 11+12¢44¢
$1.9K5/4
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 11
46¢−2¢$1.2K4/5Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 11−2¢46¢
$1.2K4/5
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 11
6¢−6¢$8660/7Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 11−6¢6¢
$8660/7
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 11
1¢+16¢$3251/5Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 11+16¢1¢
$3251/5
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs12 NO
20%80%
80% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 8% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 95%· net of hedges
+22 new YES$30+24 new NO$460
$8 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale13 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $69 is directional: YES $6·NO $64YES Team
Total Invested
$6
Avg Win Rate
83.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$3(-51.6%)
Whales
3
NO Team
Total Invested
$220
Avg Win Rate
81.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$140(+63.5%)
Whales
12
G
godblessme2026🥇
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$37
+$37INV $40 · WR 88.2%
M
melee-rocket🥈
Entry 96¢·41.3 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
85.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $40 · WR 85.1%
N
neverhackme🥉
Entry 92¢·35.2 shares
Invested
$32
Win Rate
75.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $32 · WR 75.9%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 50¢·44 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $22 · WR 88.7%
M
melchior1248
Entry 50¢·40 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
69.1%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $20 · WR 69.1%
B
balthazar
Entry 50¢·39.8 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $20 · WR 72.2%
F
frogcast◆Proven
Entry 93¢·16 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
87.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $15 · WR 87.2%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 22¢·46 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$34
+$34INV $10 · WR 86.1%
E
e46m3
Entry 50¢·13.8 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $7 · WR 79.5%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
84.4%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $5 · WR 84.4%
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