S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 8?
YES Price
47¢
47% implied
NO Price
53¢
53% implied
Volume
$560
96 trades
Smart Whales
25
of 54 traders · 2 on both sides
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on October 8?
11 MARKETS · $33.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
15 YESvs12 NO
56%44%
56% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 42% YES by dollars · 13 YES vs 11 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 61%· net of hedges
+37 new YES$822+30 new NO$595
$341 of this was bought on both sides by the same 12 buyers — left out of momentum
15 smart whales12 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$31 of $424 is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $167·NO $227YES Team
Total Invested
$182
Avg Win Rate
76.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$12(-6.5%)
Whales
15
P
Pellepele🥇
Entry 74¢·200 shares
Invested
$149
Win Rate
80.5%
Position P&L
$-22
$-22INV $149 · WR 80.5%
G
grasstoucher69🥈hedged
Entry 72¢·20 shares·also $78 on NO
Invested
$14
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $14 · WR 58.5%
Y
yesasdgfaskdfhask◆Proven🥉
Entry 28¢·25 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $7 · WR 55.2%
1
0x1e721df3...
Entry 53¢·1.9 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 57.9%
2
0x2ab58a3a...
Entry 54¢·1.9 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 59.6%
6
0x6d3e6c7b...
Entry 50¢·2 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
61.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 61.3%
A
0xa5bad63b...hedged
Entry 53¢·1.9 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$1
Win Rate
68.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 68.3%
F
0xfea2ac52...
Entry 57¢·1.8 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 57.7%
B
0xbdd0ce25...
Entry 50¢·2 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
62.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 62.8%
C
0xc6ccc56d...
Entry 57¢·1.8 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 57.1%
Showing top 10 of 15
NO Team
Total Invested
$242
Avg Win Rate
56.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$0(+0.1%)
Whales
12
T
thanksforplayin🥇
Entry 31¢·496.6 shares
Invested
$154
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
+$30
+$30INV $154 · WR 55.6%
G
grasstoucher69🥈hedged
Entry 56¢·139.8 shares·also $14 on YES
Invested
$78
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
$-27
$-27INV $78 · WR 58.5%
0
0x05bb428a...🥉
Entry 54¢·1.9 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 57.0%
4
0x4289f0f1...
Entry 54¢·1.9 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 57.1%
A
0xa5bad63b...hedged
Entry 55¢·1.9 shares·also $1 on YES
Invested
$1
Win Rate
68.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 68.3%
A
0xad6e02f7...
Entry 54¢·1.9 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
64.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 64.2%
B
0xb1737522...
Entry 54¢·1.9 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 60.0%
C
0xcb275fa2...
Entry 55¢·1.9 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
62.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 62.7%
D
0xd90bed03...
Entry 54¢·1.9 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
65.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 65.6%
7
0x73cc5e00...
Entry 55¢·1.9 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
61.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 61.0%
Showing top 10 of 12
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