YES Price
47¢
47% implied
NO Price
53¢
53% implied
Volume
$1.5K
131 trades
Smart Whales
17
of 66 traders
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on October 9?
11 MARKETS · $10.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C or below on October 9
1¢−1¢$630/2Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C or below on October 9−1¢1¢
$630/2
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on October 9
1¢—$4150/0Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on October 9—1¢
$4150/0
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on October 9
1¢−1¢$2940/3Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on October 9−1¢1¢
$2940/3
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on October 9
1¢−1¢$6630/2Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on October 9−1¢1¢
$6630/2
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 9
6¢−6¢$8890/4Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 9−6¢6¢
$8890/4
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 9
49¢−24¢$3.8K1/3Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 9−24¢49¢
$3.8K1/3
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 9←
47¢−7¢$1.5K2/3Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 9←−7¢47¢
$1.5K2/3
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 9
1¢+49¢$6441/1Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 9+49¢1¢
$6441/1
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 9
1¢—$3050/0Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 9—1¢
$3050/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs12 NO
29%71%
71% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 87% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 54%· net of hedges
+38 new YES$682+41 new NO$767
$309 of this was bought on both sides by the same 12 buyers — left out of momentum
5 smart whales12 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $49 is directional: YES $42·NO $7YES Team
Total Invested
$42
Avg Win Rate
72.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$5(+12.2%)
Whales
5
J
jbutler23🥇
Entry 44¢·45.4 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
75.7%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $20 · WR 75.7%
D
DriverEd🥈
Entry 39¢·26.6 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
58.3%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $10 · WR 58.3%
B
bhuumi🥉
Entry 45¢·20 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $9 · WR 85.8%
T
theonechance
Entry 45¢·5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 56.7%
P
Polite-Cooking-Participant
Entry 41¢·1.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 55.6%
NO Team
Total Invested
$423
Avg Win Rate
81.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$27(+6.4%)
Whales
12
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 50¢·211.3 shares
Invested
$106
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $106 · WR 72.2%
S
smallreceipt🥈
Entry 50¢·170 shares
Invested
$85
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $85 · WR 89.0%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 50¢·167.4 shares
Invested
$84
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $84 · WR 79.5%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 50¢·100 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $50 · WR 89.3%
G
gmgmgmgmg
Entry 50¢·41.6 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
79.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $21 · WR 79.1%
N
northdrawer
Entry 50¢·40.4 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $20 · WR 87.7%
D
donthackme
Entry 52¢·38.1 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $20 · WR 87.6%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 52¢·30 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $16 · WR 85.9%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 50¢·30 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $15 · WR 88.7%
W
Welcome2026
Entry 54¢·7 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $4 · WR 56.8%
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