YES Price
6¢
6% implied
NO Price
94¢
94% implied
Volume
$889
64 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 39 traders
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on October 9?
11 MARKETS · $10.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C or below on October 9
1¢−1¢$630/2Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C or below on October 9−1¢1¢
$630/2
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on October 9
1¢—$4150/0Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on October 9—1¢
$4150/0
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on October 9
1¢−1¢$2940/3Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on October 9−1¢1¢
$2940/3
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on October 9
1¢−1¢$6630/2Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on October 9−1¢1¢
$6630/2
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 9←
6¢−6¢$8890/4Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 9←−6¢6¢
$8890/4
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 9
49¢−24¢$3.8K1/3Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 9−24¢49¢
$3.8K1/3
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 9
47¢−7¢$1.5K2/3Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 9−7¢47¢
$1.5K2/3
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 9
1¢+49¢$6441/1Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 9+49¢1¢
$6441/1
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 9
1¢—$3050/0Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 9—1¢
$3050/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs10 NO
17%83%
83% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 4% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 96%· net of hedges
+22 new YES$36+20 new NO$833
$4 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale11 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $86 is directional: YES $3·NO $83YES Team
Total Invested
$3
Avg Win Rate
87.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$1(-44.5%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$357
Avg Win Rate
84.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$235(+65.7%)
Whales
10
E
e46m3🥇
Entry 50¢·209 shares
Invested
$105
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
+$93
+$93INV $105 · WR 79.5%
J
Jolly-Particle🥈
Entry 96¢·67 shares
Invested
$64
Win Rate
93.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $64 · WR 93.9%
Q
quietparcel🥉
Entry 50¢·94 shares
Invested
$47
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$42
+$42INV $47 · WR 88.7%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$36
+$36INV $40 · WR 89.0%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 50¢·60 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$27
+$27INV $30 · WR 85.9%
M
melchior1248
Entry 50¢·37.3 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
69.1%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $19 · WR 69.1%
B
balthazar
Entry 99¢·18.7 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $18 · WR 72.2%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 50¢·30 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $15 · WR 89.3%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $10 · WR 88.2%
N
northdrawer
Entry 94¢·10 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $9 · WR 87.7%
Smart Whale Trades
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