5 days left

Will Hal Varian win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?

YES Price
7¢
7% implied
NO Price
93¢
93% implied
Volume
$1.1K
47 trades
Smart Whales
3
of 20 traders

Smart Money Consensus

2 YESvs1 NO
67%33%
67% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 98%· net of hedges
+4 new YES$7+6 new NO$370
$2 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $7 is directional: YES $7·NO $0

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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