5 days left

Will Ariel Pakes win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?

YES Price
18¢
18% implied
NO Price
82¢
82% implied
Volume
$10.1K
275 trades
Smart Whales
11
of 85 traders

Smart Money Consensus

3 YESvs8 NO
27%73%
73% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 1% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 7 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 88%· net of hedges
+25 new YES$705+30 new NO$3.5K
$491 of this was bought on both sides by the same 13 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale6 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $2.1K is directional: YES $13·NO $2.1K

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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