Geopolitics29 days left

Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by October 31, 2026?

YES Price
20¢
20% implied
NO Price
80¢
80% implied
Volume
$7.7K
128 trades
Smart Whales
8
of 54 traders · 4 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

5 YESvs7 NO
42%58%
58% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 1% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 5 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 74%· net of hedges
+44 new YES$2.3K+30 new NO$4.4K
$2.3K of this was bought on both sides by the same 19 buyers — left out of momentum
5 smart whales6 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 37% of the money is not a bet
$1 of $254 is held equally on both sides by 1 wallet — not a bet on the outcome. $93 is hedged across different prices by 3 wallets. True directional: YES $1·NO $159

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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