knyzh · Polymarket wallet 0xbada…fe22

Wallet snapshot

knyzh has made 684 trades on Polymarket across 263 markets, $31K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (33%) and crypto (17%). On 239 resolved markets the win rate is 71.5%, lifetime P&L +$454. It holds 17 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?". Last trade: Oct 3, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes · $214 · 85¢ → 98¢
• Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No · $168 · 53¢ → 89¢
• Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?No · $121 · 66¢ → 80¢
• Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?No · $115 · 84¢ → 97¢
• Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by October 31, 2026?No · $114 · 82¢ → 94¢
• Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes · $110 · 65¢ → 71¢
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?No · $110 · 85¢ → 94¢
• Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?No · $104 · 91¢ → 95¢
• Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? No · $101 · 84¢ → 91¢
• Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?No · $101 · 85¢ → 86¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia?Yes · +$33 · Oct 12, 2026
• Will Łukasz Gibała win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election?Yes · +$24 · Oct 12, 2026
• Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?No · +$38 · Oct 1, 2026
• Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No · +$10 · Oct 1, 2026
• Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?No · +$28 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026?No · +$19 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.