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Economics13 days left

Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
27¢
27% implied
NO Price
73¢
73% implied
Volume
$3.2K
201 trades
Smart Whales
15
of 61 traders

October Unemployment Rate

9 MARKETS · $17.9K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

3 YESvs12 NO
20%80%
80% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 75%· net of hedges
+6 new YES$49+6 new NO$130
$20 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $276 is directional: YES $276·NO $0
YES Team
Total Invested
$276
Avg Win Rate
59.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$41(+14.8%)
Whales
3
P
podairpod🥇
Entry 23¢·1,172.9 shares
+$41INV $270 · WR 59.2%
N
new-account-test222🥈
Entry 26¢·20 shares
+$0INV $5 · WR 60.5%
B
big-bird1🥉
Entry 28¢·3.9 shares
$-0INV $1 · WR 68.6%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 20% YES: the October 2026 unemployment rate…