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Economics13 days left

Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
37¢
37% implied
NO Price
63¢
63% implied
Volume
$4.5K
212 trades
Smart Whales
15
of 66 traders

October Unemployment Rate

9 MARKETS · $17.9K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

4 YESvs11 NO
27%73%
73% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 99% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 66%· net of hedges
+5 new YES$96+5 new NO$169
$32 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $735 is directional: YES $725·NO $10
YES Team
Total Invested
$725
Avg Win Rate
59.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$74(-10.2%)
Whales
4
P
podairpod🥇
Entry 39¢·1,818.6 shares
$-73INV $700 · WR 59.2%
N
new-account-test222🥈
Entry 41¢·30 shares
$-2INV $12 · WR 60.5%
B
big-bird1🥉
Entry 41¢·27.7 shares
$-2INV $11 · WR 68.6%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 11¢·10 shares
+$2INV $1 · WR 79.7%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 21% YES: the October 2026 unemployment rate…