YES Price
14¢
14% implied
NO Price
86¢
86% implied
Volume
$384
50 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 35 traders · 1 on both sides
Highest temperature in Tokyo on October 4?
11 MARKETS · $7.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C or below on October 4
0¢0¢$1.3K0/1Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C or below on October 40¢0¢
$1.3K0/1
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 4
1¢−1¢$4280/2Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 4−1¢1¢
$4280/2
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 4
1¢+32¢$4301/2Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 4+32¢1¢
$4301/2
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 4
2¢−2¢$6250/3Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 4−2¢2¢
$6250/3
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 4
26¢−26¢$1.8K0/5Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 4−26¢26¢
$1.8K0/5
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 4
53¢−39¢$7681/6Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 4−39¢53¢
$7681/6
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 4←
14¢−1¢$3841/7Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 4←−1¢14¢
$3841/7
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 4
2¢−2¢$3030/7Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 4−2¢2¢
$3030/7
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 4
1¢+24¢$2281/3Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 4+24¢1¢
$2281/3
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs8 NO
39%62%
62% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 11% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 81%· net of hedges
+14 new YES$56+15 new NO$231
$6 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
4 smart whales4 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$1 of $34 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $4·NO $29YES Team
Total Invested
$51
Avg Win Rate
72.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$30(-59.7%)
Whales
5
A
arehovbrow🥇
Entry 50¢·47 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
$-17
$-17INV $24 · WR 86.6%
W
wwwoooeee🥈
Entry 33¢·68.6 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
60.7%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $23 · WR 60.7%
1
0x173516ae...🥉
Entry 14¢·18.9 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
57.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $3 · WR 57.5%
S
SoW-yiyi
Entry 27¢·3.8 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
78.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 78.4%
G
ghorrockhedged
Entry 13¢·5 shares·also $3 on NO
Invested
$1
Win Rate
60.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 60.1%
NO Team
Total Invested
$91
Avg Win Rate
81.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$48(+52.7%)
Whales
8
X
xiaoxiaocangying🥇
Entry 50¢·58.8 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
82.7%
Position P&L
+$21
+$21INV $29 · WR 82.7%
N
northdrawer🥈
Entry 50¢·54 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $27 · WR 87.6%
C
Concrete-Eyestrain🥉
Entry 76¢·20 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
83.0%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $15 · WR 83.0%
J
Jealous-Quote
Entry 78¢·7 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
73.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $5 · WR 73.1%
H
Hollow-Commitment
Entry 72¢·7 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $5 · WR 72.2%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
67.0%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $5 · WR 67.0%
G
ghorrockhedged
Entry 74¢·3.8 shares·also $1 on YES
Invested
$3
Win Rate
60.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $3 · WR 60.1%
T
thunderfrog
Entry 77¢·1.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
80.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 80.7%
Smart Whale Trades
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