YES Price
53¢
53% implied
NO Price
47¢
47% implied
Volume
$768
113 trades
Smart Whales
14
of 74 traders · 1 on both sides
Highest temperature in Tokyo on October 4?
11 MARKETS · $7.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C or below on October 4
0¢0¢$1.3K0/1Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C or below on October 40¢0¢
$1.3K0/1
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 4
1¢−1¢$4280/2Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 4−1¢1¢
$4280/2
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 4
1¢+32¢$4301/2Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 4+32¢1¢
$4301/2
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 4
2¢−2¢$6250/3Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 4−2¢2¢
$6250/3
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 4
26¢−26¢$1.8K0/5Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 4−26¢26¢
$1.8K0/5
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 4←
53¢−39¢$7681/6Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 4←−39¢53¢
$7681/6
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 4
14¢−1¢$3841/7Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 4−1¢14¢
$3841/7
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 4
2¢−2¢$3030/7Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 4−2¢2¢
$3030/7
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 4
1¢+24¢$2281/3Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 4+24¢1¢
$2281/3
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs12 NO
20%80%
80% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 36% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 6 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 64%· net of hedges
+29 new YES$325+29 new NO$214
$143 of this was bought on both sides by the same 9 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales8 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$5 of $50 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $16·NO $29YES Team
Total Invested
$19
Avg Win Rate
73.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$2(+8.8%)
Whales
3
NO Team
Total Invested
$164
Avg Win Rate
81.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$6(-3.9%)
Whales
12
G
graynotebook19🥇
Entry 50¢·126 shares
Invested
$63
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $63 · WR 89.3%
N
northdrawer🥈
Entry 50¢·54 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $27 · WR 87.6%
B
baller-80b2🥉
Entry 50¢·50 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
58.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $25 · WR 58.6%
X
xiaoxiaocangying
Entry 48¢·35.4 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
82.7%
Position P&L
—
—INV $17 · WR 82.7%
Z
zonglinwu
Entry 49¢·20.8 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
82.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $10 · WR 82.1%
A
arehovbrow
Entry 46¢·22.2 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $10 · WR 86.6%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 51¢·5 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
67.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $3 · WR 67.0%
W
w9383
Entry 49¢·5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 58.8%
A
alexbitok
Entry 46¢·5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 85.7%
G
ghorrockhedged
Entry 45¢·5 shares·also $3 on YES
Invested
$2
Win Rate
60.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 60.1%
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